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The economic crisis is developing in the U.S. Is there a chance that Syria will be left alone for some time due to this?
Boris Dolgov, expert of the Institute of Oriental Sciences of the RAS
It can be left alone for some time,
because of the economic crisis and internal political struggle in the U.S.
But it will be done only for some time,
because the goal of the U.S. and the West, Israel, a part of the Israeli leadership,
is to overthrow the regime of Bashar Assad.
And the goal remains.
The fact that an agreement on the chemical weapon was reached would be a positive step, if it were made.
But it won’t solve the problem of the Syrian crisis.
It is only one of its elements.
The West and the U.S. don’t want a political settlement of the Syrian crisis.
For them, the most important thing is overthrowing Bashar Assad.
The interests of the West, the U.S., Israel, and the Persian Gulf states coincide here.
The alliance will continue existing.
The other moment is that the Military Industrial Commission of the U.S. is also interested
in stirring up the military situation over Syria.
When the U.S. prepared for a strike on Syria,
live stock of companies producing cruise missiles rose and the holders of the stock got serious revenues.
The fact is important.
Do you think the overthrow of Assad is a settled issue and all we can do is wait? Does he have a chance to resist?
I want to say that this is a goal of the West, the Persian Gulf monarchies and a part of the Israeli leadership.
But it doesn’t mean that the goal will be reached.
The development of the situation in the Middle East means that the situation works for Assad.
Firstly, the successes of the Syrian army in the struggle against the armed militants are obvious;
moreover, there are the supplies of arms from Russia and Iran,
and the Russian and Iranian authorities state that they will continue doing it;
and finally, the situation in the region.
The toppling of President Morsi in Egypt is a victory for Assad.
Today the Egyptian leadership has rejected the former policy of Morsi,
i.e. the support for the radical armed opposition in Syria.
All borders through which Egyptian militants come to Syria are closed.
The headquarters of the National Coalition of the Syrian opposition was withdrawn from Cairo;
now it is situated in Doha.
Moreover, the militants who fought for the armed opposition in Syria are subjected to persecution in Egypt
because they participated in demonstrations and armed clashes against the military in Egypt, who stood against Morsi.
Today Egypt is in a step to reconstruct diplomatic relations with Syria.
This is a real success.
Egypt is excluded from the group of states which want to overthrow Assad.
Egypt is now different, even though it is not an ally of Syria, at least it is a neutral country.
This is significant because Egypt is an important Arab state, and a lot depends on its position.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE have recognized the new Egyptian government.
This is a sign as well, because Saudi Arabia and the UAE promised financial support to the new Egyptian authorities.
It is also a new element in the puzzle of the political situation in the Middle East.
At the moment, Assad’s positions are being improved.
I don’t think the government of Assad will be overthrown in the near future.
In the U.S. we can see a weakening of Obama’s positions;
the European position on the Syrian opposition is ambiguous,
because there are reports by experts of the UK special services,
which say that hundreds of Muslim British citizens are fighting for the radical Syrian opposition.
In case of their return to the UK, it would be a big threat.
It's the same in France.
The attitude of European society and political circles toward developments in Syria is changing.