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welcome back to work for you
the shovel thousands research focuses on a broad range of topics international
climate policy
including mitigation action and its cost
the kyoto mechanisms the design of crime agreements
reduction proposals in the international negotiations and long-term mitigation
scenarios
he's a member of the e_u_ delegation between from twenty eleven twenty twelve
is a policy provider
advisor chisimayu provides analytical support to the delegation in the
european commission
for the u_n_ at ccc
private negotiations on these topics
please project leader development application of global economy while
climate change modeling now that's a mouthful but it's very important role
policy standpoint
and he was a member of the dutch delegation of private negotiators for
two thousand eight two thousand ten
and of the e_u_ delegation being twenty eleven twenty well
we show that i wasn't welcome to world view
that's going to call these you examine new information on likely future
emissions trajectories developing countries
and this included reason clarifications of assumptions and conditions
relating to those developing country pledges as a result
the recent report found the developed countries must reduce their emissions by
fifty percent
below the nineteen ninety levels by twenty twenty
if we're going to have a medium chances to media chance of winning warming to
two degrees celsius
and prevent some of climate change worst intact
and v_i_p_ ccs fourth assessment report said the developed countries would have
to reduce emissions by twenty five to forty percent
sounds like we have a very big problem here how bad is it
ran into problems in bosnia is it's it's it's about half of the helping countries
have proposed what they're going to do and what is the therefore analyze all
these proposals and what they're doing right now
is surrounds
nine to twelve percent below business as usual emissions i was out front for some
most likely what they achieved
and it's about fifty percent
about net two thousand send apples
so if they are doing
with a have proposed
in order to keep the two degrees
and into the region
the developed countries
the death of the fifty percent
below nineteen ninety nine
but of course is on the wrong part of the story
you could also transfer ron's if
these outcomes is due out there
posted right now
and that's it leads to around four percent of the eighty percent romance
masses
then the developing countries have to be more
and they have to do around thirty percent
so it's a story of who is and just
giving it to be in linking to reach and cns boasts develop ended up on things
has to do more
enormous recently
and of course the developing world with several women that you have all the
benefits of
polidura rations
petrol usage etcetera
why should we
cutback in the developed countries and say look we worked very hard to get to
where we are
how much support do you get from from from from the government there
uh... and and what forces are out there that are trying to stymie this type of
research
harriet beecher business independence their research institutes and we have
links with less government yes i think that that's government announced that
you've been commission
that's head this is just our spicy dumped a few decisions here it's just a
recommendation for policy action
and smaller and general
young blacks is in the independent nation since isn't so we don't have a
position in the debates
who work for the i_p_c_ see that's one of our
fast as well
but uh... there are no forces that just uh...
who says and you know their actions
that the other side of the the dutch have taken such a leadership role
on this issue
concern of the ducks have
that that that we deal with this in the last part of the of clap for students
recent times and it has a strong is the said
thus far apart
first clients moments but uh...
that
nasa hopes there's this kind of his third year and so i think there also a
confusion in europe that that those who take leadership might connect germany
and you can
yahoo we are just a couple of conflict that uh... to show only a champion
you look for you it's uh... it's a amount of life and that the dramatic
uh...
rising sea level could do it
you know essentially mean the uh...
the end of the loans as we know it because so much of the country's was on
the ground and dependable or patrol
year old
of course that does also makes it much more interested in in in the finance
uh... problem of course you can also benefits that from comments that you two
adaptation songs stis five dollar yemen's in dallas at the same
butter
yet consider there's a lot of interest in this line of the lake that's the
issue may be different from related to
let's go back to the system from the policies that work for a second
but how do these targets that you've that you've laid out the impact
uh... when for example we we hear governments around the world
talking about drilling in exploring in places like the party
your country's uh... on our show gas uh...
uh... of that there's more talk of of coal exploration and exploitation were
told it seemed to run counter through these targets however the impact
remembers and we're trying to go
now that's the position right now that they're still increasing uh... trends in
the admissions admissions going up also if you look at the business as usual
emission projections of what happens is offline policy
then we also see this these projections has gone up
because of for example children still goes but also for a full on reasons why
i can trust
so these
projections ruin throes of course also
their outward consistent because more and more difficult sdn seriously and to
be
is also a matter of with timing every year erase for baking policy action
it becomes more and more expensive to to do detection haiti and through to
restrict them
and yet you see using technology such as uh...
such as solar
and winding the night of the report last week here
that uh... you know so it was about to become sustainable without any sort of
subsidy
by twenty fourteen in places like india and other parts of the world where it's
being installed
painting a pretty much everywhere
uh... yuka countries such as yourself and and germany and and
some of the scandinavian countries making huge investments and select
when it comes to some of the biggest consumers he feels almost as if solar
and wind up in the collective recently pumping
war other the ground and beverly scarborough that fuels and the prices
continue to rise
why do you think came
appeaser user or not covered as much in the media's they should be
because it involves in in the media and receive gets there
there's a lot of investment also an ex-army exhibits a kicking and screaming
jackets they acted upon domestic as a society towards their
aloha ran society instead
yes it does cost something
yes i have cash i think uh... we should not read to him to massage and he's
joining indicated that it would be the same compensate for a decent no
consequence he's already fight balancer
that is done
that should be supported by medium or more
so you mentioned business as usual what is the global outlook if there is no
change what sort of temperature rises and talk to you
and why is the year twenty twenty so important and just a milestone for the
consequences here connection
i'm not a seriously it's not a chronic vaction down recently created a memory
maybe two temperatures and a lot of three to four degrees and sell shares of
them off cause a lot for your office and thousands and
my two thousand census home for people deduction proposals consequently making
are related to two thousand sensing
at this issue
and
before it was it goes right now
and priced important politically
ran up debt and dishes and often bosnia missions are much higher in two thousand
census
and emma tissue well was short industry in order to get involved
cost per statements
will no longer hw much higher cost for for maintenance
goes needs deeper and faster reductions in order to so he doesn't agree
and two degrees at night at best vending agrees that if i just think that this is
a couple of things to each other
in order to to keep it to a degree
is in the midst mad is in recess and important too
not saturday too much because all i think he much higher cost of those who
leads the higher climates infects
and she also to see a much more reliance on home among lopez home particular
would be optional y and z carbon capture storage
rates uh...
creates a negative dimensions lets you need a form of a large scale instead
well there's a big
restore full sympathy ends this because it's still a long proven technology
negative it's not like the food as we saw the movie and once again begin to
fix it
will the weather we've seen in last year's is it likely that by twenty
twenty were too late
well i'm not sure it is the mason-dixon still might be possible long-term from
sort of thing about being
there's a good chance that the estates in the world without overshoot and
nope sugar three degrees celsius
anther play-acting growth also did so i find the best
well it's a very important issue and i'm glad you're on a side at least doing
that
the heavy lifting in working in the end of the searching out there thank you for
joining us here will do
there
we've been speaking with michelle that aisles of the netherlands environmental
assessment agency
that you can find his team's paper analyzing the greenhouse gas emission
reductions
of the mitigation action plans by non annex one countries by twenty twenty
online at science direct dot com
will be back after this with part two of our report from john jackson in hong
kong
on the way the internet is changing to watch you even more closely with the
currently does
john this week is going to give you practical tips on remaining anonymous on
the web
you're watching world view with dennis