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bjbjLULU (GI-7) Timing is Everything Hello, my name is Brian Linnekens and I am the president
of Global Innovation Development. ve all heard the saying timing is everything well, this
is particularly true in real estate. Just like most other capital intensive endeavors,
real estate development projects are extremely sensitive to changes in interest rates. Income
producing properties like apartments, retail shopping centers, industrial centers and offices
provide insufficient cash flow to be financed when interest rates climb above certain levels.
And for sale projects (like single family home divisions, condo projects, or incubator
office buildings) are doubly impacted by high interest rates because of the high cost of
construction financing, and also the reduction in buying demand for the product as buyers
wait for interest rates to drop before entering the buying market. As such, selecting the
right time to enter the market is crucial. Many new developers just charge ahead, regardless
of the overall economic climate a decision which later can haughty them, and their entire
career. On the other hand, waiting too long into a positive cycle to begin a development
can also be very dangerous. Developments usually have substantial lead time, and towards the
end of a positive cycle the project becomes subject to increased risks of competition
for tenant and buyers. Also, towards the end of a positive cycle, construction costs are
usually at their highest as demand for materials is high and contractors have many projects
to chose from. So, the real trick is to launch your project right near the beginning of a
positive cycle. But, this requires a developer to perceive new market opportunities before
others do which is really where all the magic lies. So how does a successful developer do
this? Well, there are a variety of indicators one can use to spot a positive economic trend.
These can be things like unemployment rates, new housing starts, and business failure rates.
Realistically though, local indicators are arguably even more important so a good developer
will gather information from local brokers and bankers regarding what type of properties
have a lack of current supply, and typically rent or sell quickly when available. Timing
your developments to the cycles of the market is certainly not easy, but if you are careful
in your information gathering and market analysis you can position your project for the highest
chance of success. Good luck and have a great day. gdKr On+r Brian Linnekens Normal Brian
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