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welcome to twenty twelve on michael sure uh... it is in fact the sort of the heat
of the iowa battle were indeed within three weeks of the iowa caucuses and its
psa getting even more exciting as a matter of at the polls have not shown a
tremendous shift since newt gingrich took the lead
other than the second-place wars the place force right now it appears as ron
paul he's catching up some of these polls happen within one point of uh...
of
newt gingrich and you know we had we've said it before paul's organization right
now in iowa of course second to only the president who has an office in just
about every county in iowa paul's uh... organization there is spectacularly good
right now he is probably the most organized can it ever run indies uh...
caucuses and because of that a lot of people including jane cuter think that
he's going to win this caucus i still will stand by my wager and my opinion
the ron paul will not win the iowa caucuses uh... as vice president al gore
said to us i want to say said to me because it sounds pretty cool but as he
said to us the other night there is a ceiling for ron paul and i believe that
still needs this when you see in the national polls and the local polls let's
as were on the subject talk about the polling not just in the state of iowa
but the national polls because in the state of iowa gingrich's up it depending
on how you look at it between eleven one and eleven points on paul and a mixture
of pollen romney uh... further back
the michelle bachman after that debate this past saturday has made up a few
points and some of those polls the most interesting polls to me right now
at the polls that show any of these three candidates in a city street
kenneth paul romney and gingrich
up against president no bomb a in the fall president obama beats all of them
in one two three nine different polls right here uh... it's uh... it's pretty
remarkable romley has the best chance against antes up by romney um by one
point provide two points in one poll but with an another poll but one point
uh... i'm mit romney only does the president get the muck amassed more
forty eight percent of the vote in every poll against newt gingrich the president
either is at fifty percent or surpasses fifty percent which is very important
when you're looking at the president who has a
you know not great deal of approval at this point he does not get the fifty
percent approval what would you put him up against newt gingrich
he gets past fifty percent
of the electorate these polls as we've said and reiterated here on twenty
twelve and on the young turks they mean very little right now president obama
has not begun to run for president know everybody
who is interested in this knows enough about him right now as soon as those
that's come up and this is the ads that tell you about his opponents come up
and that talc the good things that this president has done it's going to affect
the race and the polls going forward but just to give you an idea ron paul
polls at thirty seven percent against the bombers fifty percent uh... and that
you know in another poll it's thirty eight percent
ron paul it does have this feeling that we uh... have alluded to i_d_'s polls
are important
uh... especially for people who want to look at that the glass is half full who
are democrats i wanna make sure that none of these republicans are elected
they have to look at these numbers the national numbers which are so important
i'd also think that republicans are looking at these numbers republicans are
looking at these numbers when they think about it you electability and you have
to remember a great deal of them will vote on electability they did it last
time john mccain was not the favorite son of that party when he won the
nomination two thousand eight
but they looked at him as being the most electable they were wrong by the way
over there with him as being the most electable of that a lot of candidates
the scene happenin ilac and and the year two thousand four when john kerry won
iowa he had the perception of electability that howard dean did not
have at that point and and people left uh... santana leader stage of up richard
gephardt part off also as on electable so went when you look at electability a
lot of these republicans are not a harder time written voting for newt
gingrich if they see brotha mit romney as the most electable of those
candidates