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this is some from
my book the crasher 2016 which is going to be coming out in
officially November they'll be shipping it in
October in it's available now for pre-order but arm
I just want to share a couple things that I wrote in there cuz I think
they're apropos of what's going on right now with syria
and the economic situation
in the world one of the main
day the the essential thesis one other one the main
through stories in the crash 2016 is
that the old I there was
some time yet site I on a who said you know those who forget history are doomed
to repeat it
her was any case on that
that when the last person
as as twenty is quoted as saying Arnold Toynbee when the last man who remembers
the horrors the last great war dies an x-ray or becomes inevitable
on now ahead
to a certain extent John Kerry is putting a lighter that cuz he remembers
the horrors of the last great war although I would say vietnam was not
the last great war it was probably World War two
and by great I don't mean
in a positive you know salute the flag way I mean
you know massive but there are these cycles there are these a two-year cycles
eighty years ago we had
the economic crash of 1929 relief 27 to 34
followed by World War two
which arguably ran from roughly 1938 when hitler started
accumulating his forces 39 invaded Poland
and he was only 38 he he annexed
the sedating land Austria but
so that was not quite so much considered an actor Wars is invasion of poland in
thirty-nine
but in any case you know followed
in the next generation by by the
Great War World War two eighty years before that you had
a series of economic crashes that started very aggressively happen in the
1840s
peaking with the
the nationwide panic in 1857 and the story I tell and and the crash 2016 is
the story how
Abraham Lincoln I just got paid and
took his check from the railroad use railroad lawyer the time to his check
from the railroad to the bank and said I would like this in cash please
and it was a good thing he did his virtually all week later virtually all
abt all the banks now and I had failed
and took their depositors cash with them
Lincoln has cash in his pocket that
crash love the eighteen forties was follow the eighteen fifties rather was
followed by the
civil for this is eighty years before World War two
roughly eighty years before that we had the economic crisis
above the seventeen late 1760s early 1770s
that led England in 1773 their revenue was so way way down in the tank
because there was an economic crisis going on both in Europe and in North
America
you know these the cycles of capitalism
that they passed a
a series of laws some to raise revenue
the Stamp Act some to
stimulate the businesssave the biggest British corporation
the Teac to 1773 the towers and the towns in AXO 1772 so DC
saudis 33 were designed to increase revenue the tea act
was a tax cut for these Disney Company because virtually every member
parliament was a stockholder in the East India Company
and this so infuriated the colonists that the
Boston Tea Party happenin the winter I've
the late there early winter if I think was november my time in December 1773
and
this is was the turning point for Thomas Jefferson in for a whole lot of his
compatriots
which led to the Boston Massacre well I'll let the boss 2 ports act for the
British government said you gotta pay us back for this million dollars for the T
in them
for and the and the City of Boston said you know
put it where the whatever and
such a the sled to the
Boston Massacre and the shot heard round the world in right to the American
Revolution
so we have these every eighty years and economic crisis followed by war
and what I wore about in the book in my book the crash in 2016 is that we are
in that economic crisis I started writing this book a year and a half ago
and I talked about this on the air many times is this is not something that I'm
just you know those of you who've been listening for years now that I've been
I'm sort of reading this book you know musing about it on the air
at least the economic crash part of it
and but in the book I point out that those crashes are always followed by
wars
and this is something I think that we have to be very very
careful about
now this is back in 1933 March 19th 1933
and O'Hare mcCormick young reporter
wanna first female reporters for the New York Times
the first to win a Pulitzer Prize for reporting by the way 1921
actually was 31 she won the pulitzer 21 she started
she was the first to chronicle she went over a billion sure chronicled the rise
Benito Mussolini
shoe saw dispersed and one prop Pulitzer Prize for
should a full-page front-page New York Times article
I was in front your full-page article of the first section York Times
March 19 1933 about FDR's election
the headline was the nation renews its faith out the swift secession events as
mark two weeks the New Deal
this fact stands out that the confidence to the people in government has been
reestablished
at Long headlines back that most of all she wrote about
franklin roosevelt I'm reading this from the crash 2016
most small roosevelt as an instrument of history his first two weeks for more
than a transfer authority from one party to another it was a change in government
set up a change in administration
one suspect she wrote that he expresses the kind of revolution the fires the
American mind
a hundred percent American Revolution his manifesto is the Constitution
one reason for the present meekness in both houses is that every member is
practically buried under an avalanche is a telegrams letters from constituents
these messages come to Democrats Republicans alike sometimes for afsane
always imperative
they are mostly variations of a single order support the president game
anything you want so this is 1933
with it was the day after
the swearing in UHV franklin roosevelt for his first term as president
the war was not really even on the distant horizon
but FDR said
today my friends we have one against the most dangerous OVR follows we have
conquered fear
but I cannot with candor tell you that all is well with the world
clouds of suspicion tides ill will and intolerance gathered
darkly in many places
here in America we are waging and a great and successful war is a war for
the survival of democracy we are fighting to save a precious form of
government for ourselves and for the world
and he goes on through you know the the other economic royalist rose up and then
of course
the road to war and the chapter titled
in my book the crash 2016 style both road to war
yesterday and today
and this is what John Maynard Keynes growth well I get into that
in a little bit but any other the point is
I have been wondering ever since I first wrote this
the first draft the year and a half ago what's going to be the war the follows
the crash
and I am very concerned that this thing in the middle east Syria
could be it this is the Thom Hartmann program
this has all the players the two largest nuclear players in the world the United
States and Russia
it's got the big players in the middle east it's got ought be at those world is
involved in its