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\f0\b\fs24 \cf2 BY JOHN O\'92CONNOR \b0 \
\b ANCHOR LOGAN TITTLE \b0 \uc0\u8232 \u8232 More than a week after
the release of a secretly recorded videotape showing presidential candidate Mitt Romney
asserting that 47 percent of Americans see themselves as \'93victims\'94 \'97 he has
started losing ground in the polls.\u8232 \u8232 At the time of the tape\'92s release{\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK
"https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight"}}{\fldrslt \cf3 \ul New York Times blogger Nate Silver
tweeted}} \b \'9390% of \'91game-changing\'92 gaffes
are less important in retrospect than they seem in the moment.\'94\'a0
\b0 \uc0\u8232 \u8232 Silver has now found this gaffe would fall in his \'9310 percent
exception.\'94 {\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK "http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/28/sept-27-the-impact-of-the-47-percent/"}}{\fldrslt
\cf3 \ul \ulc3 In a Friday update}}, Silver shows that on September 17th \'97 the date
the tape was released \'85\uc0\u8232 \u8232 Obama led the popular vote in the New York
Times\'92 now-cast polls by \b \'934.1 percentage points.\'94
\b0 \'a0But since then \b \'93Mr. Obama has gained further ground
in the polls. As of Thursday, he led in the popular vote by 5.7 percentage points in the
\'91now-cast,\'92 a gain of 1.6 percentage points since Mr. Romney\'92s remarks became
known to the public.\'94\'a0 \b0 \uc0\u8232 \u8232 President Obama is also
up about \b six percentage points
\b0 in each the {\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-28/obama-leads-in-polls-in-3-swing-states-including-north-carolina.html"}}{\fldrslt
\cf3 \ul \ulc3 Bloomberg}} and {\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK "http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx"}}{\fldrslt
\cf3 \ul \ulc3 Gallup}} poll respectively this week. \'a0\uc0\u8232 \u8232 {\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK
"http://video.msnbc.msn.com/jansing-and-co/49212142/#49212142"}}{\fldrslt \cf3 \ul \ulc3 Ad expert Howard Bragman tells
MSNBC}} that the boost can be attributed to the Obama campaign\'92s use of \'9347 Percent\'94
ads.\uc0\u8232 \u8232 \b \'93It\'92s testing really well which is
why the Obama people keep hammering on it.\'a0When the history of the 2012 presidential campaign
is written the 47 percent remark is going to be the seminal moment.\'94
\b0 \ Despite Mitt Romney\'92s significant slide
in the pre-election polls, {\field{\*\fldinst{HYPERLINK "http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/09/27/truth-about-2012-polls/"}}{\fldrslt
\cf3 \ul \ulc3 Fox News notes}} \'85\uc0\u8232 \u8232
\b \'93The race is not over yet and the debates beginning next week will be a decisive test
for both the president and Governor Romney.\'94 \b0 \uc0\u8232 \u8232 The first debate \'97
which is over domestic policy \'97 will be held at the University of Denver, Colorado
next week on October 3rd.\ \
}