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Salut, sunt W3az3l de la Pokerbrainiacs.com
we are going to be discussing the topic all fold equity
what is filed equity
the definition of poverty is
additional equity in a hand
given that your opponents may sometimes falls
exactly how much fold equity we have is going to be estimates
and it's going to be an estimate based on various things
such as villains range
some of those candidacies ads we will consider these
leads into the air
at any point where we want to calculate our total akruti enhanced we are going
to need to consider both top part equity
and outfall equity
one limitation all tracking software such has told the manager umberto
tractor
the all in the evening
is that they only consider equity hands not home equity
to get a true idea of your expected saudi unique to take both these into
consideration
now some exceptions
for example in the case for pure bluffs you don't need to consider top equity
i would be appalled equity
and in the case of here are being the one that making the call
rather than the one that during the batting
the only relevant factor is going to be t
the only half of equity if you are the one during the betting and that is
charts that joe permit unfolds
in some cases
but phone records he is going to be an unwanted them
most of the time it's useful
in the case that here is making a valued at
sold equity is not necessarily something her bones
and the reason is that it
limits the calling range all apartment
so we may have exterminate and under what about providing
but if aren't installing a huge martin westerns
it is going to be allot products what he wrote you extract a good amount or value
on average
so when we are
body back soon
sold equity is not a good thing
let's look at some example
sprawls
calculating harris expected value
using fall dipti
in this example here is on the river
and that is
hundred declines in the past
let's assume that hair has no equity in the
it's uh... he has
five high for example and he knows he can never went outside on bundy
but he wants to make that much
practice hundred decline
let's assume that he replies every batch of eighty declines into the hundred
prime ops
in estimates that than what's all fifty percent of the time
what is here as vp
if you want to
also began to take a
shot at calculating misspent filtrate
in order to calculate ears beating the spot we are going to meet tonight the
basics formats for calculating easy
and it's a very useful formula also very simple formula one that's
it is a good idea to remember
and it's estes
expected value can be calculated by
the amount eric unwin
multiplied by
essential to your house when
and subtract from that
lose amounts iraqi reduced multiplied
by two percent chance all heresy
uh... if you can't read this look larger expected value
so let's try and find it uh... it relevant numbers we need to put into
this formula
the amounts that you're committed team win
is the amount of is already in the parks but he's hoping to scale a hundred
declines
percent chance of here waiting
in this case wedding is going to be just find as taking down the party
that is going to cut fifty percent of the time
webroot unfolds
inbound here canoes is the amount tds investing into disrepute bus
so here can potentiation eighty declines situation
and he is going to be used as a ticket lines fifty percent of the time rant and
kal
that's been put those numbers into the before
and forget this
so hundreds
i win amounts time spy
white five sent out winnings
notice that we have to
combat our fifty percent into a decimal in order to use it and dis
equation
a hundred times no point five subtract from matt's
ideologically stunts by points five that should say
resulting calculation is going to be fifty-eight minus forty
uh... that he's going to give us
ten declines
as ever sought so this means that everytime hero
makes this river but he is going to make tend to be lines on average
so despite the fact that here has zero point equity display is going to be well
so happy we can see in this part of an excellent teach
here has no child battling the bulge if he can't sit down
but display is still going to be gospel
that and i think so
hero raises too
three big buns on the button
this is going to be a
simple blind still
and in terms of how often the blinds filed slow blind is going to be talking
eighty five percent of the time
sort of raids
and the debate line is going to be solving eighty percent off time
so reasonably tight lines
began to question we want to past years
wat is the ebay of this but i'm still assuming that he rejects up
so in this case we are not interested in hearing spot equity we are not
interested in the hands your house
if you're a does get cold we are just going to assume that he or she matically
uses as well
and he's going to
give up
when calls
we are on the intrested in the d expected value obvious
large-scale surrey uk only going to be using told equity and artie
again if you think you know how to talk about this feel free to post a video and
have agar ap working it out
just remind ourselves on our t_v_ formula
and create an event established for different numbers we need t insists on a
outwit amount is going to be one point five big lines because this is the
amount you're potentially when
that's one declined invested inclined to grant or client declined to testify
small lines
and the amount here accountabilities that commas suggest a personal is
three people aren't speakers this is the amenities investing in his fight reds
the question how are they
is
wat is the sent chance of winning and bought is the sent chart racing
and in order to calculate this we are going to need to know the combined
amount of times that
parks the small blind and big blindfold
as a general rule of probability
if we want to find the probability all
two simultaneous events occurring
haii
one events and turn of events because
we need to multiply perspective probabilities off the individual events
occurring
in this case we know that
we want to small blind
stalled and declined to talk
we are going to multiplied the respective probabilities all these two
events happening
so every house no point eight five which is a decimal formats
multiplied by white hates
and that gives us a total of no point six states
we can see it and that
the probability of was lines folded adherents but i'm still being success
is sixty eight percent
reconnect all calculate that
hero distrust of losing is going to be one minus that amount
so here is going to be
respects your sent at the time
well using means that era is going to get colds or rear areas
exception
we now have our for numbers to into about easy formula
so weekend at those numbers
remote splattered brackets
and we are going to see that we get the result all snort point not six p plans
what this means is that here is going to make at profit all no but not six p
bonds
appliance tio
even if you never see bets
and of course here will sometimes be seen that in
even if here is a very type c better he is more than likely going to be seen at
c_n_b_c_ flops strom ate and attitude have a better
so here is the vitro making the spine stale is going to be a lot harder no six
p plans
assuming that he wrote
is never going to see that
he can still make a small profits by peres and the patent
against these two type lines
even if you just typing races any two carts he is trying to make and automatic
corporate
so hopefully we can see depending upon the sian this particular scenario
especially the case back here is the in case the opposition pops up on
ready to cut soft handed the blinds a very tight
they're quite often may even have a profitable wants to know
widening any to cause
just as a result all fallback t that's
that's a at case uh... example
this example is going to be a little bit more complicated and we are going to
tactic in
heroes part equity also in this particular case
and putting quincy is going to be calculated in the same way as we
calculated old equity
using the expected by the formula
and this is this an aria
here is outs position on its own iraq has to send the diamonds a two-time ans
and will it be a stick with dominance of potted plants three of spades
and mature spots
so here has
entire with a plaster
we are going to say that that is
a hundred people lined santa claus
and that that hot eighty goodbye inspected stacks remain
the first question re-opened us is
what is here as expected value to check calling an eighty people aren't that
symington has any type of queen
roughly eighty percent equity
uh... if we just typing up a copy all
exposed you can see on this
old that but literally
well i'm going to
make sure that
deven has caught any queen
so some of these queens will be stupak combinations ads doesn't necessarily
matter
how realistic is that the other news that how disputes act range
it is just for the second example
and we could see that as that range
here has roughly twenty percent would say yes twenty percent for simplicity
sake
which means of course that's villages that have eighty percent alacrity in
this case
so we're not interested in fold equity in this particular example
because
is going to be calling and that's what they're how's that for the party
again if you think you
know the on students using d_d_t_ formula on the previous page then feel
free to force of india and calculate the odds that you could squash jim
okay so we are
guardian puts a numbers into our t_v_ flowmeter
the fest is the amount he reckoned win and the amounts here kerwin
is going to be the hundred-page blinds in the ups
plus the eighty declines that's been is going to bed
the amount that you are a step towards
so here i can potentially win hundred-meter declines
much but despite absent chance of winning
abacus stabbed spat here has twenty percent equity index fund stuart it's
and it's not a queen
we are going to subtract from this brackets the amount eric unleashed
and here i can potentially use eighty people i it's because this is the amount
tds check calling
and this he's going to happen eighty percent
so reads
input these four numbers into patties used formula
without multiply the brackets outs can not raise thirty six months sixty four
which gives us agran total off negative twenty eight
which means that here is going to be using twenty i'd be blind spot ap rich
making the school psyche is expected barry is minus twenty exp lines in other
words here it is going to be
making any loss in the long run
by cheque quoting and this particular situation
let's imagine out that carrie is not going to check call dot t_ respected
acts
the anti alliance
into the hunchback blank part
and he is going to assume that then phones fifty percent off his screen
expense
and leave
dundee example in this particular a for a reason
if leave now modified the kleenex habits and dennis folding
well he's obviously not going to be holding anything that
has
cheap at
so he's all seen uploading cream five three three three two if he has stars
uh... so
but if we say he's holding
de lo and ofthis green expanse which don't have to at
and say he's continuing not with the strengths of the rest of your screen
expands he decides by are not good enough that's
we did see that against this range that
here are still has
referee twenty percent equity
and the reason i've done it like this is because
in some cases
here is not going to have to send them out of equity
against dennis calling ranch
as you will against further inspection ranch
matter fact they may even be quiet
a lot different
but in this particular example we can set here has the same amount of acting
you guys felons
quoting range as he does began its been inspection range
just to remind ourselves of the question
what is here is expected value
or betting a_t_p_ glance into the hundred people in parts
assuming that involves fifty percent all of your screen x
ants and that for
on st
if you think you known how to work this out and you know the outset feel free to
post a video
and try and cut committee concert in this question
the easiest way appalls approaching this problem
is to visualized every possible outcome
with this flow chart
we can see that that archery possible outcomes to this situation
either here at that spent fifty percent of the times of thoughts
all ben calls
confident goes on to wind eighty percent of the time
well then calls and here it sucks out and cylinders spandex cuts twenty
percent
we can then go on to calculator overrule probability of the time that a_t_t_'s
events tracks
and as discussed when we wants you know the probability ought to single tennis
events karen
we multiply the respective nazis
therefore the overall amount of time that
then wins
is going to be calculated by
the essential incident calling which is no point five
time spy percent chance all tenants hand-holding uh... which is not quite
right
therefore been is going to win
in this scenario forty percent of the time
then the scenario where then calls and loses is going to happen no point five
times by not printing since the time
which gives us aground tugboat of ten-cent or time
when we want to know the probability all one infant all
one other than the current
in probability typically we apt the probabilities
together
we are going to use a
modify festival not easy for me a
but outing together the occurrences way here are winners on one side of the
formula
and subtracting from that the times when he releases
houdini formula then looks like
some things like this
on the left hand side of the formula that we are going to act together the
two instances that hair wins
especially hero can
that edge of the blinds and he is then going to take the pop down immediately
sixty percent for time
therefore do not care can win is a hundred times the amount of the cops
and we multiply this five point five sensitive time that insults
we can add to this the all the way that and dot here can win the pot
and this is when the nichols and here are sets out
and in this instance here is going to
when hundred and eighty people lines
and as calculated this he's going to happen to ten percent of the time
we are then going to subtract from this the occurrences where he releases and
we've seen that that is one possible scenario by this happens
when here at that's bill nichols and his hand holds up
and in this case the amount here can lose is the amounts he invested in his
bats
and we know that
then is going to when
eighty percent time
in this occurrence and d
overall amount of times this happens is going to be forty percent off time
within multiplied out the brackets you get fifty s eighteen months thirty two
which gives us thirty six p lines
therefore hero makes thirty six people lines on average everytime he makes this
plan
hopefully we can see what a huge difference having a decent amount i'll
followed equity makes
d caught in the same deck which is the same
but in this second instance of the hand is
quite profitable here
whereas in the first instance where here was check calling the had is on proper
profitable
this is a key reason why aggression is often going to be and winning tactic and
polka
sold equity house
is enough to on many occasions transform and unprofitable situation gets here
headquartered
that is
a slightly easier way of calculating this given that we already established
the expected value of hero when he checked calls and we know that
he had a
expected value of minus twenty eight usa karan's
perhaps some of you who are calculating the odds of this may have realized that
we can in fact
however as i lost brackets the fact that
we are going to lose twenty declines of average from point onwards where we are
all in against
against vendors range which has an eighty percent equity against here's
twenty percent
and a dispute that fifty percent of the time
is fifty percent of the time when bill anderson folks
and we can then use this as i lost brackets and calculation of t minus
forty equals at six p plans
therefore given that we've already community expected by the off getting
olin width twenty percent equity
with the amount of running in the middle week and then use this as slightly
simplified calculation to establish our t_v_ situation
of course it's cool very well knowing how we can
calculates
expected value given that we know copy them
is holding a certain percentage of the time
but how do we estimate household equity *** place
and of course it is just at an estimate
uh... it's based on a balanced tendencies
we cannot various questions about them
israel end its
than it is admit and he is going to be folding all but the strongest plans
which means that you are going to have and not to celebrity which is very good
if you are bluffing looks any puffing button
maybe not so good if you are trying to extracts in value
because admit is just going to be folding west hands that she wants to
extract money from
israel into calling station
if it is according station he is not going to be filed in very often
that we hold equity is going to be a very low
this is
buried in a few hundred struck by the can pliable types of hansel sorts
handsome artist in bali
but it's not really so good to be you want
no alternate well
level in many cases if you are playing against the calling station you can't
even disregard to fold equity to large extent just because you think that
that's never holding
and way more important becomes a part of the team
and extracting value from as
is for them buffy
perhaps villain doesn't necessary cooler lights but he's more than happy to put
in a decent amount of plus raises especially piece into our lives
while he's not directly calling this of course diminishes the amount sold equity
you are going to have because it's more likely that bill and he's going to not
fold and instead nightclub phrases
israel ok good hand reader
and the backs of the land is up and reading them all he is going to realize
in situations where here is representing strength
rise if he's not necessary and he could have read it then
he is more going to be thinking about his own hands
therefore just because here it may be betting in a spot where it's unlikely
that he's bluffing
maybe that is just not aware of that and these guns co anywhere
sometimes you have
more for electricity gas a good hand reader
welcome baxley if it's a spot
than expected to be offering or perhaps they are very few value com bios
in your range that it's a spot where kids can play you are going to happen
less wild equity
level to extend you need to be thinking about villains
hunt is perception of here's range which is good for them
if he's maybe not such a good not such a good and read it
perhaps you need to just think more about his range from whether that
register on
obviously if someone has spent a week range you look at how small fold acting
general
whereas if they have a very strong range new card expect them to old anywhere
near asl
just to reiterate told i could see
is very useful when you are bluffing boasts any puffing thank you want your
comments as follows
but fall equity is not a good thing when you are betting for battered
in some cases you may need to not bets
may want to undo represent your hand by checking second streets
or perhaps even hoping to induce bucks rubin
and take a line when you check cool
especially if you know that it is quite tights and
nobody that is going to be extremely thin because it's unlikely that and he
is going to be exim
it's going to be calling even with
west hand stimulus it may be a good spot where you want to use your hand as a
glass capture check cool
rather than trying to go
waltzed in value in a situation where you have too much hold equity
will go back back to be comparable
i had this has been a useful introduction to sold equity
this has been weasel ball park brainy expo calm
thanks for watching