Tip:
Highlight text to annotate it
X
might phiri is that you need three things there are all bomb in the mean
streets excellent one
uh... i'd agree with them bit since
sissy promise a lot of change any delivered something but the better
strategy was attacked it wrong
and he has done that
to great effect
so quiet one is
destroying the ground
prior to his
are sold out of the last four years
has released some progress less than it should
based on the fairly effective
primed for eight years
many he likely next four years
then you're gonna get some really good
is known that at all
anything that's why right now if he's trailing in the popular vote according
to the seven analyst
and i think that people as they get too close to a decision people that are
still undecided thinking
we plan to put in for the obama
but with the running and that if you're undecided this point you know so little
about politics
select
marijuana cyclicals successful business cats and change right
with all but i'm not promising anything
and you don't love the way things are going i think that's is number one issue
yeah i mean i don't know why i think it's you know at and when i was busy
degrade never
and that was uh... that was the for you know the first debate is the most
important debate the third obeys the second most important debate that's the
good because uh... and the second evicted matteo
uh... you know we gave them an opportunity for everybody was looking
for a reason not to vote president for things are great and all the sudden he
became a reasonable guidance not even that complicated he seems really but
that was my point but the kids now
looking for a reasonable for romney because their little dissatisfied with
our out things are
so he did not reason the perspective when he showed up
but we don't usually know all the details right but when he showed up and
seen presentable impressive president mama same authority people thought
i'm feeling a little authority over the last four years and that guy seems like
excited he's got some new ideas
and he hasn't and and most importantly
he doesn't even remotely sound too poor seem
yeah and so i i think that's way some of the undecideds began it almost nothing
about politics
to say
architect of the business and understand some tentative omaha supporters right
it won't display all this or bombers lead in this week's states
are still statistically significant enough that he's going away any zero in
the electoral college trade
but now i think it is a difficulty societies was electoral college
probably was a popular vote in which case republicans will absolutely lose
their minds twelve first of all we're not doing a total service to what
happened in the polls yesterday
because there were ten polls that came out yesterday of which here according to
of which six
uh... had a lead forty-three now five five natalie for romney in five heavily
for obama
post tracking so
which limited to a tie and then the staples yesterday favored o bombs so
nate silver who at new york times who's playing an incredibly important role in
this election
the mainstream media from feeling comfortable of saying well romney has
surged ahead but his day after day after day this guy keeps saying
the idea of someone else and let me know is that right and and everybody dot
glittery everybody following this region everyday
and he still has in addition to saying what you have a seventy three percent
chance of obama winning the electoral college as between ts sixty seven
seventy three for like the last week basically dipped as low as the low
sixties shortly after the first debate about a week after the first debate
he says the popular vote he still hasn't fifty point you for a while forty eight
point seven for romney
yeah based on what i saw there on the five thirty eight
so their work the polls that the
the of those those national tracking polls
damaging yesterday as they
seem to be but five of them did have a rabbit in celeste thought on that is
look i've seen the early voting
may not be itself will be able to formerly warring obviously that i told
him that he had an item tabulated but you can tell
who is a registered democrat or a registered republican
and the democrats have huge advantages in early voting absentee voting at
request for absentee voting et cetera so as you look at that and you look at
these numbers you lose it all the numbers as we do need to give us the
everyday that's why i still think obama so a little bit more likely to win the
popular vote
let alone the electoral college which i'm very confident so that when seventy
three percent
you know a little over ten days left in the election that's a really good this
is an issue percent that's like a eight or nine point favorable on those guys
never lose
that that that the fact that will receive
at the back of my last one and this i think that nate silver's got his work
cut out for a few what's the biggest up for lee focusing on what the effect of
one four because i thought the side of the daily mail
the georgia for start all over the place that
the the whole swing state fire was gone because one rusty simple says that
wisconsin's dot
not since address to assist you to anyway uh... and it's not true that anti
responsible so still
i love the two porches
relatively comfortable
relatively comfortable in all bomb a scammer high the virginia still at about
three point advantage for about
ever had a conversation about virginia a democrat winning virginia
you know again a little over ten days before the election
he's gonna win